Updates – Inflation

US REACT: Goods Disinflation Showing Signs of Returning

June 1st, 2023|

Eliza Winger Bloomberg June 1, 2023 OUR TAKE: The ISM manufacturing gauge declined further in May, its seventh straight month in contractionary territory. With consumers shifting their purchases toward services rather than goods, it’s hard to foresee a return to positive territory anytime soon. With the May print showing demand easing and prices paid dropping

US Money Supply Falls for Fifth Month in Hopeful Inflation Sign

May 24th, 2023|

Alex Tanzi Bloomberg May 23, 2023 The pace of US money supply declined in April for a fifth month, an unprecedented stretch that offers hope that inflationary pressures will continue to cool. The M2 measure, which includes cash in circulation as well as bank and money market accounts, dropped 4.6% to $20.7 trillion from the same

Jeremy Siegel Sees the Fed Lowering Rates by Year-End

May 5th, 2023|

Brandon Sapienza Bloomberg May 5, 2023 The Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by the end of this year, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business professor Jeremy Siegel said in an interview with CNBC.  Siegel said he believes that pressure is on the Fed to cut rates, especially if wages dip and the labor market cools too

US Core PCE Inflation Stays Brisk While Consumer Spending Stalls

May 2nd, 2023|

Reade Pickert Bloomberg April 28, 2023 Underlying US inflation remained brisk last month, reinforcing the case for another Federal Reserve interest-rate hike next week. The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy, one of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauges rose 0.3% in March for a second month. Compared with a year ago, the measure was up

Stagflation Is the Risk That Eludes Investors Mispricing Markets

May 1st, 2023|

Liz Capo McCormick, Garfield Reynolds, and Reade Pickert Bloomberg May 1, 2023 Slowing economy, high inflation create treacherous backdrop Schroders Plc says bonds will be ‘stand out’ asset for 2023 Financial markets are caught up in a tug of war between lingering inflation and concern about a recession as they try to guess the next

US Inflation Seen Coming Down Much Faster Due to Tighter Credit

April 21st, 2023|

Augusta Saraiva and Sarina Yoo Bloomberg April 21, 2023 Economists lower price forecasts through first half of 2024 Bloomberg survey still puts recession odds at 65% in next year US inflation is now expected to come down faster than originally projected thanks to tighter credit conditions in the aftermath of several bank failures. Economists lowered

US Business Activity Unexpectedly Jumps, Risking More Inflation

April 21st, 2023|

Augusta Saraiva Bloomberg April 21, 2023 S&P Global composite measure rose to 11-month high in April Firms increased prices at fastest pace in seven months US business activity unexpectedly climbed this month to nearly a one-year high, bolstered by stronger services and manufacturing that threatens to reignite inflationary pressures. The S&P Global flash April composite purchasing managers

US Paychecks Are Outpacing Inflation, Giving Fed Fodder for Hike

April 18th, 2023|

Molly Smith Bloomberg April 18, 2023 Median earnings ran above consumer prices in first quarter Strong wage gains may tilt Fed toward another rate hike in May US workers are starting to see pay gains run faster than inflation, amplifying their purchasing power and giving the Federal Reserve reason to raise interest rates again next

US Core CPI Tops Estimates, Pressuring Fed as It Weighs Hike

March 15th, 2023|

Augusta Saraiva BloombergMarch 14, 2023 Underlying gauge rose 0.5% in February, most in five months Shelter accounted for more than 70% of overall monthly gain Underlying US consumer prices rose in February by the most in five months, forcing a tough choice for Federal Reserve officials weighing still-rapid inflation against banking turmoil in their next

US Producer Prices Unexpectedly Fall, Signaling Easing Pressures

March 15th, 2023|

Reade Pickert BloombergMarch 15, 2023 US producer prices unexpectedly declined in February, pointing to an easing of cost pressures in corners of an economy still battling the highest inflation in a generation. The producer price index for final demand fell 0.1% from the prior month and increased 4.6% from a year earlier, according to data out Wednesday

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