America Is Back in the Factory Business
John Keilman Wall Street Journal April 8, 2023 Record spending on manufacturing construction heralds a made-in-the-U.S. rebound, stoked by green-energy incentives and concerns about foreign supply chains; ‘this is here to stay’ Production at U.S. factories rose last year, but few things were produced at a more furious pace than factories themselves. Construction spending related […]
Will the rest of the world feel China’s deflation pain?
Chris Gills Financial Times August 16, 2023 Beijing’s economic woes worsened last week after it emerged China had fallen into deflation. The news highlights how the country is struggling to live up to expectations of a strong recovery after emerging from extended Covid lockdowns. But will falling prices have an impact beyond China’s borders, in […]
Why Deflation Could Become a Welcomed Chinese Export: Next China
Bloomberg News Bloomberg August 11, 2023 Hello, this is James Mayger in Beijing. China’s deflation threat is real. While that’s a problem for its domestic economy, Americans and many others around the world should welcome the news about falling Chinese prices. The US and elsewhere have been grappling with skyrocketing inflation in the years since the […]
Annual inflation falls to lowest rate since April 2021, as Americans pull back spending
Sylvan Lane The Hill June 30, 2023 Annual inflation fell in May to the slowest pace since April 2021, as Americans pulled back their spending, according to data released Friday by the Commerce Department. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred way to track inflation, rose 3.8 percent annually […]
US REACT: Goods Disinflation Showing Signs of Returning
Eliza Winger Bloomberg June 1, 2023 OUR TAKE: The ISM manufacturing gauge declined further in May, its seventh straight month in contractionary territory. With consumers shifting their purchases toward services rather than goods, it’s hard to foresee a return to positive territory anytime soon. With the May print showing demand easing and prices paid dropping […]
US Money Supply Falls for Fifth Month in Hopeful Inflation Sign
Alex Tanzi Bloomberg May 23, 2023 The pace of US money supply declined in April for a fifth month, an unprecedented stretch that offers hope that inflationary pressures will continue to cool. The M2 measure, which includes cash in circulation as well as bank and money market accounts, dropped 4.6% to $20.7 trillion from the same […]
Jeremy Siegel Sees the Fed Lowering Rates by Year-End
Brandon Sapienza Bloomberg May 5, 2023 The Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by the end of this year, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business professor Jeremy Siegel said in an interview with CNBC. Siegel said he believes that pressure is on the Fed to cut rates, especially if wages dip and the labor market cools too […]
US Core PCE Inflation Stays Brisk While Consumer Spending Stalls
Reade Pickert Bloomberg April 28, 2023 Underlying US inflation remained brisk last month, reinforcing the case for another Federal Reserve interest-rate hike next week. The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy, one of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauges rose 0.3% in March for a second month. Compared with a year ago, the measure was up […]
Stagflation Is the Risk That Eludes Investors Mispricing Markets
Liz Capo McCormick, Garfield Reynolds, and Reade Pickert Bloomberg May 1, 2023 Slowing economy, high inflation create treacherous backdrop Schroders Plc says bonds will be ‘stand out’ asset for 2023 Financial markets are caught up in a tug of war between lingering inflation and concern about a recession as they try to guess the next […]
US Inflation Seen Coming Down Much Faster Due to Tighter Credit
Augusta Saraiva and Sarina Yoo Bloomberg April 21, 2023 Economists lower price forecasts through first half of 2024 Bloomberg survey still puts recession odds at 65% in next year US inflation is now expected to come down faster than originally projected thanks to tighter credit conditions in the aftermath of several bank failures. Economists lowered […]