US Business Activity Unexpectedly Jumps, Risking More Inflation
Augusta Saraiva Bloomberg April 21, 2023 S&P Global composite measure rose to 11-month high in April Firms increased prices at fastest pace in seven months US business activity unexpectedly climbed this month to nearly a one-year high, bolstered by stronger services and manufacturing that threatens to reignite inflationary pressures. The S&P Global flash April composite purchasing managers […]
US Paychecks Are Outpacing Inflation, Giving Fed Fodder for Hike
Molly Smith Bloomberg April 18, 2023 Median earnings ran above consumer prices in first quarter Strong wage gains may tilt Fed toward another rate hike in May US workers are starting to see pay gains run faster than inflation, amplifying their purchasing power and giving the Federal Reserve reason to raise interest rates again next […]
US Core CPI Tops Estimates, Pressuring Fed as It Weighs Hike
Augusta Saraiva BloombergMarch 14, 2023 Underlying gauge rose 0.5% in February, most in five months Shelter accounted for more than 70% of overall monthly gain Underlying US consumer prices rose in February by the most in five months, forcing a tough choice for Federal Reserve officials weighing still-rapid inflation against banking turmoil in their next […]
US Producer Prices Unexpectedly Fall, Signaling Easing Pressures
Reade Pickert BloombergMarch 15, 2023 US producer prices unexpectedly declined in February, pointing to an easing of cost pressures in corners of an economy still battling the highest inflation in a generation. The producer price index for final demand fell 0.1% from the prior month and increased 4.6% from a year earlier, according to data out Wednesday […]
Jeremy Siegel sees stocks rallying 10%-15% in 2023 as lower rates outweigh a mild recession
Scott Schnipper CNBCFebruary 2, 2023 Stocks can rally 10% to 15% in 2023 as investors react more to the prospect of lower interest rates in the second half of 2023 than to a relatively small decline in corporate profits this year, Wharton School of Business professor emeritus Jeremy Siegel said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Thursday. […]
US Service Gauge Tops Estimates in Biggest Advance Since 2020
Reade Pickert BloombergFebruary 3, 2023 ISM index rebounds with six-point gain in January to 55.2 Orders measure matches highest since beginning of 2022 A gauge of US services snapped back in January after an end-of-2022 slump, suggesting a consumer demand resurgence that leans against concerns of an imminent economic slowdown. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing […]
US Job Openings Surge Past 11 Million as Fed Zeros In on Labor
Molly Smith BloombergFebruary 1, 2023 December increase in vacancies led by leisure and hospitality Ratio of openings to unemployed climbed to near-record 1.9 Vacancies at US employers unexpectedly increased at the end of 2022, illustrating a solid appetite for labor that the Federal Reserve sees as one of the last hurdles to bring down inflation. […]
US Business Activity Shrinks for Seventh Month, Prices Rise
Augusta Saraiva BloombergJanuary 24, 2023 S&P Global composite measure at 46.6 in January after 45 Composite prices paid gauge firms for first time since May US business activity contracted for a seventh month, though at a more moderate pace, while a measure of input prices firmed in a sign of lingering inflationary pressures. The S&P […]
BlackRock, Fidelity Warn Inflation Is Being Underestimated Again
Tuesday, January 10, 2023 12:00 AMSource: Bloomberg by Eva Szalay Some of the world’s largest asset managers such as BlackRock Inc., Fidelity Investments and Carmignac are warning markets are underestimating both inflation and the ultimate peak of US rates, just like a year ago. The stakes are immense after (During 2022) Wall Street almost unanimously […]
Fed’s High Inflation Forecast Baffles Wall Street After Soft CPI
Matthew Boesler BloombergDecember 16, 2022 ‘Extremely strong December numbers’ implicit in new projection Officials may not have updated numbers after Tuesday CPI data The Federal Reserve’s updated economic projections this week appeared to incorporate an assumption that raised eyebrows: inflation would prove resurgent at the end of this year. The quarterly projections showed Fed officials […]