Fed is ‘way too tight’ and will have to consider cutting rates in 2023, says Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel
Jesse Pound CNBCDecember 15, 2022 The Federal Reserve is going too far in its fight against inflation and will be under pressure to reverse course next year, according to Wharton School of Business professor Jeremy Siegel. But Siegel pointed out that the Fed had repeatedly changed its forecast over the course of this year and […]
Strategists are gloomy on 2023 corporate earnings — and S&P 500 price targets
Bob Pisani CNBCDecember 14, 2022 Once again, the direction for trading for the rest of the year is boiling down to what Fed Chair Jerome Powell says at his press conference Wednesday afternoon. Bears think Powell and Co. will hike rates by 50 basis points (half a percentage point), as expected, but then will reveal […]
US INSIGHT: 72 Models Show 1 Part of Price Fight Going Fed’s Way
David Wilcox BloombergDecember 11, 2022 From the early days of the inflation outbreak in 2021, analysts and policymakers have feared that if rapid price gains persisted more than a few months, expectations might become unanchored, making the job of bringing actual inflation back down to 2% more difficult. Bloomberg Economics has run 72 models to […]
US Inflation Will Be Much Lower by End of 2023, Yellen Says
Jill Disis BloombergDecember 12, 2022 Yellen says she is ‘hopeful’ the labor market will be healthy CPI expected to have slowed to 7.3% in November: economists US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says inflation will be much lower by the end of next year, as long as there are no unanticipated shocks to the economy. “I […]
Consumers see inflation easing considerably in the next year, New York Fed survey shows
Jeff Cox CNBCDecember 12, 2022 Consumers grew more optimistic about inflation in November amid expectations that both food and energy price increases would be less severe in the coming year, according to a New York Federal Reserve survey released Monday. The central bank’s Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated that respondents see one-year inflation running at […]
US Year-Ahead Inflation Expectations Fall to Lowest Since 2021
Reade Pickert and Augusta Saraiva BloombergDecember 9, 2022 One-year price views dropped to 4.6% in early December University of Michigan sentiment index climbed to 59.1 US short-term inflation expectations unexpectedly declined to the lowest level in more than a year and consumer sentiment picked up, helped by falling gasoline prices. Consumers expect prices will climb […]
US inflation powering ahead in October, inflation cooling
Lucy Nicholson ReutersDecember 1, 2022 U.S. consumer spending increased solidly in October, while inflation moderated, giving the economy a powerful boost at the start of the fourth quarter as it faces rising headwinds from the Federal Reserve’s aggressive monetary policy tightening.The labor market, the economy’s other pillar of support, continues to show resilience. The number […]
Reasons Are Adding Up for Optimism on Inflation
John Authers BloombergNovember 6, 2022 Reasons to Be CheerfulWelcome to Inflation Week. In the US, the week ahead will be punctuated by widespread school closures on Tuesday for midterm elections, by what could well be another drawn-out vote-counting process, and by Veterans Day (Armistice Day in the UK) on Friday. The big moment for financial […]
Fertilizer Prices Fall as Gluts Emerge After Farmers Pull Back
Elizabeth Elkin and Tarso VelosoBloombergOctober 18,2022 US, Brazilian growers are pulling back on nutrient purchases Some prices still trading nearly five times historical average (Bloomberg) —Fertilizer prices are falling as farmers balking at the high costs of nutrients hold off on purchases, driving down demand and causing gluts that are upending the market for crop […]
US Immigration Rebounds But Remains Far From Plugging Labor Gaps
Jonelle Marte and Augusta SaraivaBloombergOctober 5,2022 Pandemic, visa-processing slowdown spurred new-worker dropoff – Lack of labor triggered wage increases, adding to inflation(Bloomberg) –Immigration to the US is rebounding after a sharp two-year slowdown, but the pickup is unlikely to plug the pandemic-induced gap in new arrivals amid persistent employee shortages in industries reliant on foreigners.Nearly […]