Updates – Inflation

Jeremy Siegel sees stocks rallying 10%-15% in 2023 as lower rates outweigh a mild recession

Scott Schnipper CNBCFebruary 2, 2023 Stocks can rally 10% to 15% in 2023 as investors react more to the prospect of lower interest rates in the second half of 2023 than to a relatively small decline in corporate profits this year, Wharton School of Business professor emeritus Jeremy Siegel said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Thursday. […]

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US Service Gauge Tops Estimates in Biggest Advance Since 2020

Reade Pickert BloombergFebruary 3, 2023 ISM index rebounds with six-point gain in January to 55.2 Orders measure matches highest since beginning of 2022 A gauge of US services snapped back in January after an end-of-2022 slump, suggesting a consumer demand resurgence that leans against concerns of an imminent economic slowdown. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing […]

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US Job Openings Surge Past 11 Million as Fed Zeros In on Labor

Molly Smith BloombergFebruary 1, 2023 December increase in vacancies led by leisure and hospitality Ratio of openings to unemployed climbed to near-record 1.9 Vacancies at US employers unexpectedly increased at the end of 2022, illustrating a solid appetite for labor that the Federal Reserve sees as one of the last hurdles to bring down inflation. […]

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US Business Activity Shrinks for Seventh Month, Prices Rise

Augusta Saraiva BloombergJanuary 24, 2023 S&P Global composite measure at 46.6 in January after 45 Composite prices paid gauge firms for first time since May US business activity contracted for a seventh month, though at a more moderate pace, while a measure of input prices firmed in a sign of lingering inflationary pressures. The S&P […]

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BlackRock, Fidelity Warn Inflation Is Being Underestimated Again

Tuesday, January 10, 2023 12:00 AMSource: Bloomberg by Eva Szalay Some of the world’s largest asset managers such as BlackRock Inc., Fidelity Investments and Carmignac are warning markets are underestimating both inflation and the ultimate peak of US rates, just like a year ago. The stakes are immense after (During 2022) Wall Street almost unanimously […]

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Fed’s High Inflation Forecast Baffles Wall Street After Soft CPI

Matthew Boesler BloombergDecember 16, 2022 ‘Extremely strong December numbers’ implicit in new projection Officials may not have updated numbers after Tuesday CPI data The Federal Reserve’s updated economic projections this week appeared to incorporate an assumption that raised eyebrows: inflation would prove resurgent at the end of this year. The quarterly projections showed Fed officials […]

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Fed is ‘way too tight’ and will have to consider cutting rates in 2023, says Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel

Jesse Pound CNBCDecember 15, 2022 The Federal Reserve is going too far in its fight against inflation and will be under pressure to reverse course next year, according to Wharton School of Business professor Jeremy Siegel. But Siegel pointed out that the Fed had repeatedly changed its forecast over the course of this year and […]

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Strategists are gloomy on 2023 corporate earnings — and S&P 500 price targets

Bob Pisani CNBCDecember 14, 2022 Once again, the direction for trading for the rest of the year is boiling down to what Fed Chair Jerome Powell says at his press conference Wednesday afternoon. Bears think Powell and Co. will hike rates by 50 basis points (half a percentage point), as expected, but then will reveal […]

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US INSIGHT: 72 Models Show 1 Part of Price Fight Going Fed’s Way

David Wilcox BloombergDecember 11, 2022 From the early days of the inflation outbreak in 2021, analysts and policymakers have feared that if rapid price gains persisted more than a few months, expectations might become unanchored, making the job of bringing actual inflation back down to 2% more difficult. Bloomberg Economics has run 72 models to […]

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US Inflation Will Be Much Lower by End of 2023, Yellen Says

Jill Disis BloombergDecember 12, 2022 Yellen says she is ‘hopeful’ the labor market will be healthy CPI expected to have slowed to 7.3% in November: economists US Treasury Secretary  Janet Yellen says inflation will be much lower by the end of next year, as long as there are no unanticipated shocks to the economy. “I […]

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