Updates – Strategy

FOMO Is Understandable But Might Not Make You Money: Macro Man

January 24th, 2023|

Cameron Crise BloombergJanuary 24, 2023 You can almost see investors getting sucked into a vortex of bullishness and FOMO as stock prices around the world continue to rise. OK, there is the odd corrective day every now and again, but the rapid rally combined with some more favorable economic data in the likes of Europe

After $18 Trillion Rout, Global Stocks Face More Hurdles in 2023

January 11th, 2023|

Thursday, December 29, 2022 09:00 PMSource: Bloomberg by Jan-Patrick Barnert Recession, rate hikes risk spurring earnings slowdown in 2023 - Question marks remain over how Big Tech and China will fare. More tech tantrums. China’s Covid surge. And above all, no central banks riding to the rescue if things go wrong. Reeling from a record

Fed’s High Inflation Forecast Baffles Wall Street After Soft CPI

December 30th, 2022|

Asia Martin Business InsiderDecember 22, 2022 A study from Amazon economists estimates a 30% chance of a US recession in the next six months. Most other forecasts are doom and gloom, with some predicting a 100% recession chance in 2023. If there is a recession, Amazon is banking on a few factors to avoid much

Goldman Sachs Sees ‘Very Plausible’ Path to Avoid US Recession

November 7th, 2022|

Alex Tanzi BloombergNovember 7, 2022 Bank maintains odds of a recession at 35% in next 12 months Average probability among Wall Street economists is at at 60% Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s top economist said there’s still a “very plausible” path for the US economy to avoid a recession despite the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening of

Treasuries Extend Rally as Investors Go All In on Dovish Pivot

October 27th, 2022|

Alyce Andres BloombergOctober 27,2022 The Treasury market’s rally off Friday’s low continues for a fourth day. That bodes well for a continued extension of this tactical rally. Investors are going all in on the potential for the Fed to deliver a dovish pivot after soft details in the US 3Q GDP report and expectations for significant slowing in the European growth

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