FOMO Is Understandable But Might Not Make You Money: Macro Man
Cameron Crise BloombergJanuary 24, 2023 You can almost see investors getting sucked into a vortex of bullishness and FOMO as stock prices around the world continue to rise. OK, there is the odd corrective day every now and again, but the rapid rally combined with some more favorable economic data in the likes of Europe […]
US Business Activity Shrinks for Seventh Month, Prices Rise
Augusta Saraiva BloombergJanuary 24, 2023 S&P Global composite measure at 46.6 in January after 45 Composite prices paid gauge firms for first time since May US business activity contracted for a seventh month, though at a more moderate pace, while a measure of input prices firmed in a sign of lingering inflationary pressures. The S&P […]
After $18 Trillion Rout, Global Stocks Face More Hurdles in 2023
Thursday, December 29, 2022 09:00 PMSource: Bloomberg by Jan-Patrick Barnert Recession, rate hikes risk spurring earnings slowdown in 2023 – Question marks remain over how Big Tech and China will fare. More tech tantrums. China’s Covid surge. And above all, no central banks riding to the rescue if things go wrong. Reeling from a record […]
BlackRock, Fidelity Warn Inflation Is Being Underestimated Again
Tuesday, January 10, 2023 12:00 AMSource: Bloomberg by Eva Szalay Some of the world’s largest asset managers such as BlackRock Inc., Fidelity Investments and Carmignac are warning markets are underestimating both inflation and the ultimate peak of US rates, just like a year ago. The stakes are immense after (During 2022) Wall Street almost unanimously […]
Fed’s High Inflation Forecast Baffles Wall Street After Soft CPI
Asia Martin Business InsiderDecember 22, 2022 A study from Amazon economists estimates a 30% chance of a US recession in the next six months. Most other forecasts are doom and gloom, with some predicting a 100% recession chance in 2023. If there is a recession, Amazon is banking on a few factors to avoid much […]
Fed’s High Inflation Forecast Baffles Wall Street After Soft CPI
Matthew Boesler BloombergDecember 16, 2022 ‘Extremely strong December numbers’ implicit in new projection Officials may not have updated numbers after Tuesday CPI data The Federal Reserve’s updated economic projections this week appeared to incorporate an assumption that raised eyebrows: inflation would prove resurgent at the end of this year. The quarterly projections showed Fed officials […]
Fed is ‘way too tight’ and will have to consider cutting rates in 2023, says Wharton’s Jeremy Siegel
Jesse Pound CNBCDecember 15, 2022 The Federal Reserve is going too far in its fight against inflation and will be under pressure to reverse course next year, according to Wharton School of Business professor Jeremy Siegel. But Siegel pointed out that the Fed had repeatedly changed its forecast over the course of this year and […]
Strategists are gloomy on 2023 corporate earnings — and S&P 500 price targets
Bob Pisani CNBCDecember 14, 2022 Once again, the direction for trading for the rest of the year is boiling down to what Fed Chair Jerome Powell says at his press conference Wednesday afternoon. Bears think Powell and Co. will hike rates by 50 basis points (half a percentage point), as expected, but then will reveal […]
US INSIGHT: 72 Models Show 1 Part of Price Fight Going Fed’s Way
David Wilcox BloombergDecember 11, 2022 From the early days of the inflation outbreak in 2021, analysts and policymakers have feared that if rapid price gains persisted more than a few months, expectations might become unanchored, making the job of bringing actual inflation back down to 2% more difficult. Bloomberg Economics has run 72 models to […]
US Inflation Will Be Much Lower by End of 2023, Yellen Says
Jill Disis BloombergDecember 12, 2022 Yellen says she is ‘hopeful’ the labor market will be healthy CPI expected to have slowed to 7.3% in November: economists US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says inflation will be much lower by the end of next year, as long as there are no unanticipated shocks to the economy. “I […]