Stagflation Is the Risk That Eludes Investors Mispricing Markets
Liz Capo McCormick, Garfield Reynolds, and Reade Pickert Bloomberg May 1, 2023 Slowing economy, high inflation create treacherous backdrop Schroders Plc says bonds will be ‘stand out’ asset for 2023 Financial markets are caught up in a tug of war between lingering inflation and concern about a recession as they try to guess the next […]
US Inflation Seen Coming Down Much Faster Due to Tighter Credit
Augusta Saraiva and Sarina Yoo Bloomberg April 21, 2023 Economists lower price forecasts through first half of 2024 Bloomberg survey still puts recession odds at 65% in next year US inflation is now expected to come down faster than originally projected thanks to tighter credit conditions in the aftermath of several bank failures. Economists lowered […]
Fed’s Bullard Says Recession Fears Off-Base and Urges More Hikes
Steve Matthews Bloomberg April 18, 2023 A strong labor market should keep the expansion going, he says Bullard reiterates favored rate outlook in Reuters interview Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said he favored continued interest-rate hikes to counter persistent inflation, while recession fears are overblown. “Wall Street’s very engaged in the idea there’s […]
Yellen says U.S. banks may tighten lending and negate need for more Fed rate hikes
David Lawder Reuters April 15, 2023 WASHINGTON, April 15 (Reuters) – U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said banks are likely to become more cautious and may tighten lending further in the wake of recent bank failures, possibly negating the need for further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Yellen said in a “Fareed Zakaria GPS” interview […]
US Core CPI Tops Estimates, Pressuring Fed as It Weighs Hike
Augusta Saraiva BloombergMarch 14, 2023 Underlying gauge rose 0.5% in February, most in five months Shelter accounted for more than 70% of overall monthly gain Underlying US consumer prices rose in February by the most in five months, forcing a tough choice for Federal Reserve officials weighing still-rapid inflation against banking turmoil in their next […]
Powell’s Legacy Risks Being Tarnished Further by SVB Collapse
Rich Miller BloombergMarch 15, 2023 Fed faulted for not heading off troubles at the bank Former Fed Governor Tarullo calls it a ‘supervisory failure’ The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank threatens to further besmirch the reputation of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, on top of the blemish he’s suffered for being slow to recognize the risk of […]
US Producer Prices Unexpectedly Fall, Signaling Easing Pressures
Reade Pickert BloombergMarch 15, 2023 US producer prices unexpectedly declined in February, pointing to an easing of cost pressures in corners of an economy still battling the highest inflation in a generation. The producer price index for final demand fell 0.1% from the prior month and increased 4.6% from a year earlier, according to data out Wednesday […]
US Job Openings Surge Past 11 Million as Fed Zeros In on Labor
Molly Smith BloombergFebruary 1, 2023 December increase in vacancies led by leisure and hospitality Ratio of openings to unemployed climbed to near-record 1.9 Vacancies at US employers unexpectedly increased at the end of 2022, illustrating a solid appetite for labor that the Federal Reserve sees as one of the last hurdles to bring down inflation. […]
After $18 Trillion Rout, Global Stocks Face More Hurdles in 2023
Thursday, December 29, 2022 09:00 PMSource: Bloomberg by Jan-Patrick Barnert Recession, rate hikes risk spurring earnings slowdown in 2023 – Question marks remain over how Big Tech and China will fare. More tech tantrums. China’s Covid surge. And above all, no central banks riding to the rescue if things go wrong. Reeling from a record […]
BlackRock, Fidelity Warn Inflation Is Being Underestimated Again
Tuesday, January 10, 2023 12:00 AMSource: Bloomberg by Eva Szalay Some of the world’s largest asset managers such as BlackRock Inc., Fidelity Investments and Carmignac are warning markets are underestimating both inflation and the ultimate peak of US rates, just like a year ago. The stakes are immense after (During 2022) Wall Street almost unanimously […]