U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rise in August; weekly jobless claims fall
September 15, 202210:10 AM PDT Source: Reuters by Lucia Mutikani U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rebounded in August as Americans ramped up purchases of motor vehicles and dined out more amid lower gasoline prices, but demand is cooling as the Federal Reserve aggressively raises interest rates to fight inflation. Consumer spending, however, is likely to remain […]
Falling gas prices are raising hopes that inflation is slowing, New York Fed survey shows
PUBLISHED MON, SEP 12 202211:00 AM EDT Source: CNBC by Jeff Cox Lower gas prices are raising optimism that inflation is on the decline, according to a survey Monday from the New York Federal Reserve. Respondents to the central bank’s August Survey of Consumer Expectations indicated they expect the annual inflation rate to be 5.7% […]
How the Ukraine Offensive Will Shift the Market Narrative
Monday, September 12, 2022 12:43 AM Source: Bloomberg by John Authers The Ukrainian armed forces appear (and I emphasize appear) to have taught the rest of the world yet another lesson in the need to be cautious about knowing what we know. If the reports of the last few days are correct, then the chances of a Ukrainian […]
Treasuries Suggest Fed Can Tame Inflation Without Killing Growth
Saturday, September 10, 2022 04:00 PM Source: Bloomberg by Michael Mackenzie The bond market is signaling that in the matter of the Federal Reserve versus inflation, its money is on the US central bank. Demand for inflation protection — as measured by yields on inflation-protected Treasury debt — keeps falling. The five-year expected inflation rate […]
US INSIGHT: Recession Risk Remains at 30% in Next 12 Months
Wednesday, September 7, 2022 05:03 PM Source: Bloomberg by Eliza Winger (Economist) The inversion of the 10-year/2-year yield curve steepened in the past month, while macroeconomic data mostly surprised to the upside, suggesting resilience in the economy’s underlying growth momentum. On net, Bloomberg Economics’ model points to a 30% chance of recession in the next […]
US Services Gauge Rises to Four-Month High on Pickup in Demand
Tuesday, September 6, 2022 10:00 AM Source: Bloomberg By Reade Pickert The US service sector expanded in August at the fastest pace in four months amid a pickup in business activity and new orders, while price pressures continued to ease. The Institute for Supply Management’s services index edged up to 56.9 from 56.7, data showed Tuesday. The […]
The Bottom 50% of Americans Are Building Wealth Even as Inflation Bites
Monday, August 29, 2022 10:40 AM Source: Bloomberg by Paulina Cachero In an eight-minute speech last week that sent stock markets tumbling, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell echoed what he’s said before about the importance of containing surging consumer prices: “The burdens of high inflation fall heaviest on those who are least able to bear them.” Yet data […]
US Companies Added 132,000 Jobs in August, New ADP Data Show
Wednesday, August 31, 2022 05:25 AM Source: Bloomberg by Reade Pickert US companies increased headcount at a relatively sluggish pace in August, according to a revamped private report that suggests hiring is downshifting in an economy buffeted by high inflation and rising interest rates. Businesses’ payrolls rose 132,000 this month after a nearly 270,000 gain in […]
US Consumer Confidence Advances to Highest Level Since May (1)
Tuesday, August 30, 2022 07:08 AM Source: Bloomberg By Olivia Rockeman US consumer confidence rose by more than forecast in August to the highest since May, suggesting that Americans are growing more optimistic about the economy amid falling gas prices. The Conference Board’s index increased to 103.2 from a downwardly revised 95.3 reading in July, the first […]
U.S. labor market defies interest rate hikes as job openings rise high in July
August 30, 202211:31 AM PDT Source: Reuters by Lucia Mutikani U.S. job openings increased in July and data for the prior month was revised sharply higher, pointing to persistently strong demand for labor that is giving the Federal Reserve cover to maintain its aggressive interest rate increases. The Labor Department’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover […]