Updates

US Services Activity Expands by Most in More Than Three Years

Vince Golle Bloomberg December 16, 2024 Activity at US service providers is expanding at the fastest pace since October 2021, providing momentum for the economy even as the downturn in manufacturing worsens. The S&P Global flash December index for service providers increased to 58.5 from 56.1. A figure exceeding 50 indicates expansion. The group’s composite […]

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A Quarter of Your Retirement Fund Just Isn’t Keeping Up

Ben Eisen Wall Street Journal November 28, 2024 U.S. stocks have been euphoric lately—and they’ve left international stocks in the dust. The longtime performance gap between the two is widening. Since the end of 2009, an MSCI index tracking equities outside the U.S. has only topped the S&P 500 in two years, according to Dow […]

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Does the European Union Unfairly Benefit from the United States’ Productivity and Output?

Christopher Combs Silicon Valley Capital Partners November 14, 2024 Historical Reasons for U.S. and E.U. Tariff Differences and Their Fairness Today The disparity in tariffs between the United States and the European Union has roots dating back to the post-World War II era. At that time, the U.S. was a dominant economic power and sought […]

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US Money-Market Assets Surpass $7 Trillion for First Time Ever

Alexandra Harris Bloomberg November 14, 2024 US money-market funds now have more than $7 trillion in assets under management, a milestone for an industry that’s skyrocketed in popularity among investors thanks to its lofty and dependable yields. The total rose by roughly $91 billion in the week through Wednesday, putting it at a fresh record, […]

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Apollo’s Kleinman Says ‘Open Your Eyes, Inflation Not Tamed’

Dani Burger Bloomberg November 12, 2024 Co-president says strong economy can fuel dealmaking Kleinman says market for individual savers is area of focus Scott Kleinman, co-president at Apollo Global Management Inc., has warned markets not to get too comfortable with the current trajectory of inflation and interest rates. “Inflation is not tamed,” Kleinman said in a […]

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Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points on Sept. 18, twice more in 2024: Reuters poll

Indradip Ghosh Reuters September 11, 2024 The Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the U.S. central bank’s three remaining policy meetings in 2024, according to a majority of economists in a Reuters poll that found only nine of 101 expected a half-percentage-point cut next week. With inflation approaching […]

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Larry Summers: 50 Basis Point Cut in September Was ‘A Mistake’

Max Zimmerman Bloomberg October 04, 2024 “With the benefit of hindsight, the 50 basis point cut in September was a mistake, though not one of great consequence,” Larry Summers says in a post on X. Employment report confirms suspicions we’re in a “high neutral rate environment” where monetary policy requires caution in rate cutting “No landing” and […]

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US Services Activity Expands at Fastest Pace Since Early 2023

Vince Golle Bloomberg October 3, 2024 US service providers expanded in September at the fastest pace since February 2023, driven by a flurry of orders and stronger business activity. The Institute for Supply Management’s index of services advanced 3.4 points to 54.9 last month, the group said Thursday. Readings above 50 indicate expansion, and the latest figure […]

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Treasury Market Expecting Fed Cuts Muting Reaction

Ira F. Jersey and Will Hoffman Bloomberg Intelligence September 20, 2024 The Federal Reserve’s downward shift in the dot-plot from the summary of economic projections has been fully priced by the market, but we think this outcome is less likely than an early end to cuts, or deeper cuts than are priced. The 2-year/10-year yield […]

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Yellen says U.S. economy remains solid, on path to ‘soft landing’ with no meaningful layoffs

Rebecca Picciotto CNBC September 7, 2024 Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that she believes the U.S. economy is healthy and that recent months of cooler jobs data is a signal of a soft landing, not a recession. Yellen said the U.S. is not seeing meaningful layoffs and the economy is “deep into a recovery.” U.S. […]

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