Updates

U.S. GDP accelerated at 2.6% pace in Q3, better than expected as growth turns positive

Jeff Cox CNBCOctober 27,2022 Gross domestic product rose 2.6% in the third quarter versus the estimate of 2.3%. A narrowing trade deficit and increases in consumer spending and government outlays boosted the number. A sharp pullback in housing subtracted from the number, part of a broader decline in private investment. Consumer spending decelerated, increasing at […]

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Goldman Sachs sees path to a soft landing for the economy getting clearer

Jeff Cox CNBCOctober 24,2022 There may be a path to a soft landing after all. At least that’s what economists think at Goldman Sachs, which said the Federal Reserve still stands a 65% chance of keeping the economy out of a recession while bringing inflation back down to sustainable levels. In a pair of client […]

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Stifel says the S&P 500 will rally 15% over the next 6 months as inflation cools

Carlo Allegri ReutersOctober 24,2022 Expect the S&P 500 to rally as much as 15% over the next six months as inflation cools and the Federal Reserve pares back its aggressive tightening campaign, Stifel says. The firm’s strategist Barry Bannister said in a note to clients Sunday that the benchmark index should hit 4,300 by April […]

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Stocks likely bottomed this month following the September inflation report as investors scramble to exit the bear market, analyst says

Carla Mozee Business InsiderOctober 21,2022 Stocks likely reached a bottom on the day of the S&P 500’s big swing sparked by the September inflation report, said Carson Group. “The action last Thursday had some of the hallmarks of a capitulation low,” chief market strategist Ryan Detrick said. October may still prove to be a bear-market […]

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U.S. consumer is soldiering on despite soaring inflation and recession risk, credit card giants say

Yun Li CNBCOctober 21,2022 U.S. consumers have demonstrated a willingness to continue to pay higher prices in the face of a sluggish economy that could be tipped into a recession, according to credit card giants American Express and Bank of America. American Express on Friday reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings and revenue, while raising its full-year […]

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Treasury yields could be peaking soon and that could ease some pressure on stocks

Patti Domm CNBCOctober 19,2022 The closely watched 10-year Treasury yield has been setting new 14-year highs, but strategists expect it to ease from those levels in a matter of weeks, relieving pressure on the stock market. That may be a temporary phenomenon, but it could serve to fuel the year-end rally that many investors have […]

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Fertilizer Prices Fall as Gluts Emerge After Farmers Pull Back

Elizabeth Elkin and Tarso VelosoBloombergOctober 18,2022 US, Brazilian growers are pulling back on nutrient purchases Some prices still trading nearly five times historical average (Bloomberg) —Fertilizer prices are falling as farmers balking at the high costs of nutrients hold off on purchases, driving down demand and causing gluts that are upending the market for crop […]

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‘It didn’t need to be like this’: Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed was too slow responding to inflation and now the risk of a recession is ‘uncomfortably high’

Tristan BoveFortuneOctober 17,2022 “We should not be looking at this uncomfortable probability of a recession. But there’s a reason why we’re looking at it. And that is a Federal Reserve that is scrambling to play catch-up,” he said. The U.S. economy may be edging closer to a completely unnecessary recession, according to one top economist, […]

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Bank of America CEO says latest spending and savings data show that the U.S. consumer is healthy

Hugh SonCNBCOctober 17,2022 Bank of America’s customers continue to spend freely, using their credit cards and other payment methods for 10% more transaction volume in September and the first half of October than a year earlier, CEO Brian Moynihan said. Customers’ account balances remain higher than before the coronavirus pandemic struck in early 2020, Moynihan […]

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Josh Brown says the Fed has ‘zero credibility’ after big miss on 2022 rate hike forecasts

Josh BrownCNBCOctober 11,2022 Ritholtz Wealth Management CEO Josh Brown said Tuesday that investors should put little weight on the Federal Reserve’s predictions about rate hikes after the central bank’s missteps over the past year. “This is a body of people who one year ago today were telling us, based on their forecasts, that there would […]

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