Top Goldman Sachs analyst says the world is moving into a new super cycle
Sophie Kiderlin CNBC January 8th, 2024 The world economy is moving into a “different” super cycle, Peter Oppenheimer, head of macro research in Europe at Goldman Sachs, told “Squawk Box Europe.” Artificial intelligence and decarbonization are two of the key factors that could have a positive impact during this new cycle, he said. Oppenheimer also […]
US Services Growth Slows as Employment Shrinks Most Since 2020
Mark Niquette Bloomberg January 5,2024 ISM services PMI decreased 2.1 points in December to 50.6 Gauge of new orders dropped to three-month low of 52.8 The US service sector came close to stagnating at the end of 2023 as a gauge of employment showed the biggest contraction in more than three years. The Institute for […]
Conference Board’s Leading Index Shows Little Sign of Recession
Simon White Bloomberg December 21, 2023 The Conference Board’s Leading Index shows few signs of a recession yet. When that changes, it will be an early sign the market may need to begin pricing a more worrisome outcome. The measure dropped 0.5% in November. This marks the 20th consecutive decline, but a look under the hood […]
US Inflation Expectations Fall to Lowest Levels in Over Two Years
Augusta Saraiva Bloomberg September 15, 2023 US inflation expectations fell in early September to the lowest levels in more than two years as consumers grew more optimistic about the economic outlook. Consumers expect prices will climb at an annual rate of 3.1% over the next year, down from the 3.5% expected in August, according to the preliminary […]
Retail Sales Gains Can Extend as High-Earners Spend
Lindsay Dutch Bloomberg Intelligence November 13, 2023 The higher-income consumer is healthy, a positive sign for retail sales in 4Q and 2024, though rising credit-card balances, student-loan repayments and lower savings are hurdles. A shift away from dining out or travel could create opportunity in other discretionary categories, like apparel and electronics — a boon […]
Yellen Says Yield Surge Is Due to Strong Economy, Not Deficits
Viktoria Dendrinou, Christopher Condon, and Margaret Collins Bloomberg October 26, 2023 Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the surge in longer-term bond yields in recent months is a reflection of a strong US economy, not the jump in government borrowing driven by a widening fiscal deficit. “I don’t think much of that is connected” to the US budget deficit, Yellen […]
US PREVIEW: Third-Quarter GDP to Blow by Consensus Estimate
Eliza Winger Bloomberg October 25, 2023 A frenzy of summer spending on travel and entertainment drove real GDP growth to an unsustainable pace in the third quarter. A narrowing trade deficit and modest build up of inventories also added to the topline figure. We expect consumption to slow in 4Q given elevated inflation, high interest […]
Wall Street rises as upbeat earnings, forecasts lift sentiment
Shubham Batra and Shashwat Chauhan Reuters October 24, 2023 Wall Street’s main stock indexes advanced on Tuesday as upbeat forecasts from Verizon, Coca-Cola and others boosted optimism about corporate America’s health in the face of a slowing economy and higher inflation. Verizon (VZ.N) surged 9.1% after the U.S. wireless carrier raised its annual free cash flow forecast, […]
The Economy Was Supposed to Slow by Now. Instead It’s Revving Up.
David Harrison The Wall Street Journal October 23, 2023 Earlier this year, economists and Federal Reserve officials predicted that the U.S. economy would be sputtering by now as higher interest rates cut into spending and investment. The opposite is happening. Recent economic data suggest the economy is accelerating despite higher borrowing costs, the resumption of […]
US Retail Sales Top Forecasts in Sign of Durable Consumer Demand
Augusta Saraiva Bloomberg October 17, 2023 Increase in household purchases spans variety of categories Data bolster already-robust economic growth in third quarter US retail sales increased in September by more than forecast in a broad advance that suggests durable household demand as the third quarter drew to a close. The value of retail purchases, unadjusted for […]