Updates

U.S. factory orders growth beats expectations in January

WASHINGTON, March 3 (Reuters) – New orders for U.S.-made goods increased more than expected in January, pointing to continued strength in manufacturing despite supply challenges. The Commerce Department said on Thursday that factory orders rose 1.4% in January. Data for December was revised sharply higher to show orders gaining 0.7% instead of falling 0.4% as […]

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Impact of Russia Ukraine Conflict

Shared with the permission of Goldman Sachs research:   The Russia-Ukraine situation remains in flux, with recent escalations as Russia recognized two eastern territories in the Ukraine as independent states and authorized military forces in the regions. The main questions remain how far and how quickly into Ukraine these Russian troops will go, and what […]

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These tech stocks are the safest bets amid market sell-off on Russia-Ukraine invasion, Wedbush says

PUBLISHED THU, FEB 24 202210:08 AM ESTUPDATED 4 MIN AGO Annie Palmer Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives said Thursday investors should look to large-cap technology stocks and cybersecurity vendors amid the market sell-off driven by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Global markets reeled Thursday as investors sought out safe havens, sending stocks lower and pushing up […]

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Nvidia provides strong revenue outlook on demand for computer chips

See below article detailing Nvidia’s earnings beat and optimistic supply outlook:   Top of Mind Thoughts Supply chain crunch over and company expects supply to improve quarter over quarter going forward As supply constraints ease, inflation should come down in the second half of 2022 Digital applications for chips accelerating Nvidia provides strong revenue outlook […]

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How the United States Should Respond if Russia Invades Ukraine

See below article outlining the true cost of a Russian Invasion of Ukraine Top of Mind Thoughts Ukraine has approximately 41 Million mostly poor people and no real industry Taking over and supporting Ukraine alone would be very costly for Russia Western Trade embargos and sanctions would be very significant and had a lasting cost […]

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 COULD CHINA’S MASSIVE PUBLIC DEBT TORPEDO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY?

See below article discussing China’s growing debt problems Top of Mind Thoughts China’s debt and cashflow problem are larger than expected China’s economy is slowing faster than consensus expectations China is one of the most indebted large economies in the world Can Xi Jinping afford a Taiwan Conflict and international crisis? What would happen to […]

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China Real Estate Crisis & Omicron Threaten Xi Jinping’s Rule

See below article reflecting on George Soros’ interview with Bloomberg Top of Mind Thoughts Tension within China’s Communist Party is growing Leader Xi cannot afford any mis-steps China’s economy is slowing faster than consensus expectations China is one of the most indebted large economies in the world Can Xi Jinping afford a Taiwan Conflict and […]

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Inflation’s shock to economy complete as small business tipping point reached

See below article from CNBC regarding small business challenges regarding macroeconomic impact of higher inflation combined with rising borrowing costs: Top of Mind Thoughts -National retailers have an economies-of-scale “pricing power” advantage over small business operators -Companies with digital distribution strategies should weather supply chain challenges better than non-digital competitors -Companies that use technology to […]

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Goldman Sees Fed Hiking Seven Times in 2022 Instead of Five

Thursday, February 10, 2022 10:53 PM By Enda Curran Likely path is longer 25 basis-point hikes: Goldman analysts Global banks have been expecting an aggressive Fed hike cycle (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees the Federal Reserve raising interest rates seven times this year to contain hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation, rather than the five it had […]

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Free Cash Flow to Become Big Tech’s Key Focus in 2022

Anurag Rana Team: Technology BI Senior Industry Analyst Apple, Microsoft Multiples Could Expand on Cash Flow Stability Contributing Analysts Ashley Kim (Technology) (Bloomberg Intelligence) — Recent earnings suggest that tech investors are focusing more on future profit than sales gains, which could lead to multiple expansion for leading cash flow generators like Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet in […]

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