Goldman Sees GDP, Markets Weathering Likely Government Shutdown
Christopher Anstey Bloomberg August 21, 2023 US federal agencies set to run out of appropriations Sept. 30 Goldman sees partisan impasse leading to temporary shutdown Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees a short-term hit to the US economy, with a subsequent rebound, in the likely event of a federal government shutdown sometime after appropriations run out Sept. 30. “The […]
America Is Back in the Factory Business
John Keilman Wall Street Journal April 8, 2023 Record spending on manufacturing construction heralds a made-in-the-U.S. rebound, stoked by green-energy incentives and concerns about foreign supply chains; ‘this is here to stay’ Production at U.S. factories rose last year, but few things were produced at a more furious pace than factories themselves. Construction spending related […]
Will the rest of the world feel China’s deflation pain?
Chris Gills Financial Times August 16, 2023 Beijing’s economic woes worsened last week after it emerged China had fallen into deflation. The news highlights how the country is struggling to live up to expectations of a strong recovery after emerging from extended Covid lockdowns. But will falling prices have an impact beyond China’s borders, in […]
US Retail Sales Top Forecasts, Showcasing Consumer Resilience
Reade Pickert Bloomberg August 15, 2023 July sales rose 0.7% after upward revisions to prior months Broad gain included firmer sales at online, clothing retailers US retail sales rose in July by more than forecast, suggesting consumers still have the wherewithal to sustain the economic expansion. The value of retail purchases increased 0.7% in July after upward […]
Why Deflation Could Become a Welcomed Chinese Export: Next China
Bloomberg News Bloomberg August 11, 2023 Hello, this is James Mayger in Beijing. China’s deflation threat is real. While that’s a problem for its domestic economy, Americans and many others around the world should welcome the news about falling Chinese prices. The US and elsewhere have been grappling with skyrocketing inflation in the years since the […]
China Now Sells Fewer Goods to the US Than Mexico or Canada Do
Augusta Saraiva Bloomberg August 8, 2023 Mexico and Canada have replaced China as the top providers of goods to the US as a nearshoring push encourages more diversified supply chains. The US imported about $203 billion in goods from China in the first six months of the year, 25% less than in the same period in 2022, […]
Wall Street Forecasts Project Profit Recession Ends Next Quarter
Jessica Menton Bloomberg August 5, 2023 With Corporate America’s earnings season nearing an end, the takeaway is clear: Challenges remain, but for a broad swath of companies the worst of the profit pain is likely over as margin-shredding inflation pressures ease. The bad news: S&P 500 Index companies are on track to notch a third straight quarter […]
JPMorgan Scraps Recession Call in Latest Sign of Rising Optimism
Reade Pickert Bloomberg August 4, 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. economists scrapped their call for a recession in the US, joining a growing number of forecasters who now expect the economy to avert the downturn that was once viewed as inevitable. The bank, which had previously said it expected a recession to begin in 2023, […]
US Productivity Jumps by Most Since 2020, Blunting Labor Costs
Reade Pickert Bloomberg August 3, 2023 US labor productivity logged its biggest increase in the second quarter in nearly three years, helping to offset rising labor costs. Productivity, or nonfarm business employee output per hour, rose at a 3.7% annual rate in the second quarter after registering a decline in the first three months of […]
S&P 500 Profits Get a Lift From the Crack in King Dollar’s Reign
Jessica Menton Bloomberg July 29, 2023 Traders bet greenback will fall more, helping overseas sales End of Fed rate hikes adds to pressure weighing on US currency With the Federal Reserve nearing the end of its most disruptive monetary-tightening campaign in a generation, a softening US dollar is poised to boost profit growth for nearly half of […]