Updates – Earnings

US-China trade war could create winners in Southeast Asia

Southeast Asia is “a very attractive alternative” for companies looking to diversify away from China in the trade war, according to Satish Shankar from management consultancy Bain & Co.

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A $9 trillion corporate debt bomb is ‘bubbling’ in the US economy

At first glance, it looks like a $9 trillion time bomb is ready to detonate, a corporate debt load that has escalated thanks to easy borrowing terms and a seemingly endless thirst from investors. On Wall Street, though, hopes are fairly high that it’s a manageable problem, at least for the next year or two.

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Goldman Sachs on 2019: Raise cash, get defensive and look out below if more tariffs happen

Goldman Sachs is not feeling very bullish about stocks in 2019, according to its official outlook report to clients out this week.

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JP Morgan sees a slowdown coming, with economy growing at less than 2 percent in 2019

JP Morgan economists expect economic growth to slow to 1.9 percent next year, as tax and other stimulus fades.

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China and U.S. teams bypass Washington and go straight to Buenos Aires for trade talks

Chinese and American trade negotiators have made a last-minute change to their original plans and rescheduled their talks for Buenos Aires instead of Washington, a source who was briefed on the matter has told the South China Morning Post.…

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Harvard’s Reinhart Sees Rising Risk of Big Emerging-Market Sovereign Defaults

Carmen Reinhart, the Cuba-born economist whose warning in May of emerging-market perils proved prescient, says things may get worse in 2019 as rising U.S. interest rates, slower Chinese growth and potential defaults put more stress on the developing world.

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Is the Trade War Really Holding China Back?

Domestic policies such as reining in credit and investment-driven growth are having a much bigger impact on the economy.

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Goldman’s Kostin Doesn’t Want to Be Defensive in This Market

David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, discusses why it is not the time for defensive investing and how the firm is modeling markets and the U.S. economy.

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Apple analysts have a long history of misreading weak iPhone demand based on supplier rumors

Quarterly concerns around iPhone demand have become close to routine for Apple — as global smartphone sales slow and upgrade cycles grow longer.

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Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s near-perfect market indicator is pointing to a strong buy

The continuing deterioration in investor sentiment is triggering a buy signal from a measure that has a 94 percent success rate.

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