SVCP Team

See below article detailing Nvidia’s earnings beat and optimistic supply outlook:   Top of Mind Thoughts Supply chain crunch over and company expects supply to improve quarter over quarter going forward As supply constraints ease, inflation should come down in the second half of 2022 Digital applications for chips accelerating Nvidia provides strong revenue outlook […]

See below article outlining the true cost of a Russian Invasion of Ukraine Top of Mind Thoughts Ukraine has approximately 41 Million mostly poor people and no real industry Taking over and supporting Ukraine alone would be very costly for Russia Western Trade embargos and sanctions would be very significant and had a lasting cost […]

See below article discussing China’s growing debt problems Top of Mind Thoughts China’s debt and cashflow problem are larger than expected China’s economy is slowing faster than consensus expectations China is one of the most indebted large economies in the world Can Xi Jinping afford a Taiwan Conflict and international crisis? What would happen to […]

See below article reflecting on George Soros’ interview with Bloomberg Top of Mind Thoughts Tension within China’s Communist Party is growing Leader Xi cannot afford any mis-steps China’s economy is slowing faster than consensus expectations China is one of the most indebted large economies in the world Can Xi Jinping afford a Taiwan Conflict and […]

See below article from CNBC regarding small business challenges regarding macroeconomic impact of higher inflation combined with rising borrowing costs: Top of Mind Thoughts -National retailers have an economies-of-scale “pricing power” advantage over small business operators -Companies with digital distribution strategies should weather supply chain challenges better than non-digital competitors -Companies that use technology to […]

Thursday, February 10, 2022 10:53 PM By Enda Curran Likely path is longer 25 basis-point hikes: Goldman analysts Global banks have been expecting an aggressive Fed hike cycle (Bloomberg) — Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees the Federal Reserve raising interest rates seven times this year to contain hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation, rather than the five it had […]

Anurag Rana Team: Technology BI Senior Industry Analyst Apple, Microsoft Multiples Could Expand on Cash Flow Stability Contributing Analysts Ashley Kim (Technology) (Bloomberg Intelligence) — Recent earnings suggest that tech investors are focusing more on future profit than sales gains, which could lead to multiple expansion for leading cash flow generators like Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet in […]

Thursday, February 10, 2022 10:42 AM By The Editors (Bloomberg Opinion) — A further spike in U.S. inflation in January — prices were 7.5% higher than a year ago, the fastest increase for 40 years — was the last the thing the Federal Reserve wanted to see as it weighed its next moves in monetary policy. It had […]

“Excellent article about the yield curve and how to interpret market participants expectations of the future”   Read This Before You Worry About the Yield Curve: Macro Man Thursday, February 10, 2022 07:02 AM By Cameron Crise (Bloomberg) — Well, that’s put the cat amongst the pigeons, hasn’t it? At some point there will come a […]

Wednesday, February 9, 2022 03:17 AM By Christian Wienberg and Anna Edwards Maersk says ocean bottlenecks to ‘normalize’ around midyear Shift will ease pressure on trade but erode shipping revenue (Bloomberg) — A major player in global trade signaled disrupted supply chains rattling economies from Vietnam to Germany may return to normal within months, easing concerns of a […]